Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grosseto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grosseto are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Monterosi are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grosseto hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Grosseto holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grosseto
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
12.8%
Grosseto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60