Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grorud · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grorud are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Levanger are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Levanger hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 64.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Grorud holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grorud
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
13.3%
Grorud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60