Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Groningen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Groningen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Volos NFC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Groningen hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Groningen holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Groningen
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Groningen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20