Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Grobiņa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 48.7-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 81.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.5% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
86.5%
Model confidence
86.5%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40