Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Grobiņa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 48.7-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 81.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.5% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
86.5%
Model confidence
86.5%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60