GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 7/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Grobiņa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Grobiņa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ogre United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grobiņa hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 24.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Virsliga, while Grobiņa holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Grobiņa

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Grobiņa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GrobiņaLWWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ogre UnitedLWWLW

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
GrobiņaOgre United
23.1Attack32.0
39.7Defence13.3
26.9Form18.7
32.5Power24.9
1.49xG1.04
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