Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Auda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Grobiņa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Auda are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Auda hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Virsliga, while Auda holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Auda
Probability
68.7%
Model confidence
15.3%
Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00