Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grindavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grindavik are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Völsungur are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grindavik hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the 1. Deild, while Grindavik holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grindavik
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Grindavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80