Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grotta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grindavik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Grotta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Grotta hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (42.4 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the 1. Deild, while Grotta holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grotta
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
11.3%
Grotta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80