Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grindavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Grindavik are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ægir are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Grindavik hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 24.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the 1. Deild, while Grindavik holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grindavik
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Grindavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40