GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 5/27/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Grindavik are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Afturelding are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the 1. Deild, while Afturelding holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afturelding

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GrindavikDWDDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AftureldingWWWDL

GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GrindavikAfturelding
35.2Attack100.0
53.7Defence43.1
37.0Form68.6
44.5Power68.0
1.23xG2.46
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