Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grimsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grimsby are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Wigan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.8 against 55.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Grimsby holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grimsby
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
34.4%
Grimsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00