Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lincoln · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grimsby are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lincoln are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lincoln hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 77.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lincoln holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lincoln
Probability
34.9%
Model confidence
34.9%
Lincoln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40