Grimsbyvs
Exeter City
SCHEDULEDEngland · League Two · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Exeter City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Grimsby are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Exeter City are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Exeter City hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the League Two, while Exeter City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Exeter City
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
13.6%
Exeter City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00