Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grimsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grimsby are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Blackpool are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the League Cup, while Grimsby holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grimsby
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
12.8%
Grimsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40