Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Honka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
GrIFK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Honka are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Honka hold a 37.0-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 78.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.4% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Honka holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Honka
Probability
83.4%
Model confidence
83.4%
Honka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00