GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/2/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newtown AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Gresford Athletic are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Newtown AFC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Newtown AFC hold an 81.7-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 98.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the FAW Championship, while Newtown AFC holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newtown AFC

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Newtown AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gresford AthleticLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Newtown AFCWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gresford AthleticNewtown AFC
0.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
16.3Power98.0
1.31xG2.23
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