Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Gremio W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mixto W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio W hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 34.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.7% in the Brasileiro Women, while Gremio W holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gremio W
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
18.7%
Gremio W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80