GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Greifswalder FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Greifswalder FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hamburger SV II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Greifswalder FC hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Greifswalder FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Greifswalder FC

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Greifswalder FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Greifswalder FCWDWWL

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hamburger SV IIWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Greifswalder FCHamburger SV II
40.0Attack50.0
60.0Defence33.3
53.3Form33.3
53.0Power40.9
1.87xG1.31
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