Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grei W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Grei W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kolbotn W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Kolbotn W hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (37.4 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the 1. Division Women, while Grei W holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grei W
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
7.3%
Grei W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80