Greenville Triumphvs
Sarasota Paradise
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 7/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greenville Triumph · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Greenville Triumph are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 40.1 against 39.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the USL League One, while Greenville Triumph holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Greenville Triumph
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Greenville Triumph has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40