GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Greenville Triumph are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while One Knoxville are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

12.1%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Greenville TriumphDLDWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
One KnoxvilleWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Greenville TriumphOne Knoxville
36.8Attack57.9
43.9Defence63.2
33.3Form63.2
40.1Power62.6
0.82xG1.91
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