GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Greenville Triumph are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chattanooga Red Wolves are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the USL League One, while Chattanooga Red Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

54.2%

Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Greenville TriumphDLLDD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Greenville TriumphChattanooga Red Wolves
36.8Attack59.3
43.9Defence53.7
33.3Form57.4
40.1Power57.4
1.04xG1.93
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