GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boise · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Greenville Triumph are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Boise are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boise hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the USL League One, while Boise holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boise

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Boise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Greenville TriumphLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
BoiseWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Greenville TriumphBoise
36.8Attack49.2
43.9Defence54.0
33.3Form54.0
40.1Power54.1
1.05xG1.59
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