GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 6/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Greenville Triumph are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alta hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the USL League One, while Alta holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alta

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Greenville TriumphLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AltaWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Greenville TriumphAlta
36.8Attack48.5
43.9Defence60.6
33.3Form48.5
40.1Power53.6
0.90xG1.56
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