GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 7/3/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Green Gully are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bentleigh Greens are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bentleigh Greens hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Victoria NPL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Green GullyWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bentleigh GreensLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Green GullyBentleigh Greens
27.8Attack29.2
31.9Defence34.7
20.8Form29.2
29.3Power32.8
1.20xG1.12
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