Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grbalj · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Grbalj are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Zeta are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Grbalj hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Second League, while Grbalj holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grbalj
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
14.6%
Grbalj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50