Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jedinstvo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grbalj are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jedinstvo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jedinstvo hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Jedinstvo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jedinstvo
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Jedinstvo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/1.60