Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grazer AK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Grazer AK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Komárno are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grazer AK hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Grazer AK holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grazer AK
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Grazer AK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60