Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gottne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Gottne are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Umea FF are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gottne hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Gottne holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gottne
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Gottne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20