GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Gornik Zabrze are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ferencvarosi TC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 54.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 77.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

12.7%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gornik ZabrzeWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ferencvarosi TCLWDDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gornik ZabrzeFerencvarosi TC
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence73.3
0.0Form86.7
23.7Power77.7
0.96xG1.70
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