GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fenerbahçe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gornik Zabrze are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the UEFA Champions League, while Fenerbahçe holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fenerbahçe

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gornik ZabrzeWLWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FenerbahçeWWWWD

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Gornik ZabrzeFenerbahçe
16.7Attack41.7
66.7Defence91.7
16.7Form83.3
36.5Power75.3
1.07xG1.34
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