Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gorleston · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gorleston are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Leiston are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Leiston hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gorleston holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gorleston
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Gorleston has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.33/2.33
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20