GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 6/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gonio · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Gonio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Margveti 2006 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gonio hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.5% in the Liga 3, while Gonio holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gonio

Probability

77.5%

Model confidence

77.5%

Gonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GonioWWDLL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Margveti 2006WLLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GonioMargveti 2006
54.9Attack33.3
76.5Defence37.3
66.7Form35.3
65.1Power37.6
2.41xG0.47
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