Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Niva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Gomel II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Niva are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Niva hold a 25.0-point power-rating edge (42.4 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the 1. Division, while Niva holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Niva
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Niva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60