Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bumprom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gomel II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bumprom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bumprom hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (42.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the 1. Division, while Bumprom holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bumprom
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Bumprom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80