GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 5/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peninsula Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Lowconfidence

Gold Coast United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Peninsula Power are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Peninsula Power hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Queensland NPL, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peninsula Power

Probability

71.4%

Model confidence

9.9%

Peninsula Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast UnitedWLLLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Peninsula PowerWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gold Coast UnitedPeninsula Power
39.4Attack74.2
40.9Defence59.1
30.3Form68.2
38.4Power67.5
0.97xG2.68
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