Gold Coast Unitedvs
Moreton City Excelsior
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 6/28/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Gold Coast United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moreton City Excelsior
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40