GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 7/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Gold Coast United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Magic United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast United hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast United holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast United

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Gold Coast United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast UnitedLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Magic UnitedLLWLL

GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Gold Coast UnitedMagic United
39.4Attack50.0
40.9Defence10.6
30.3Form33.3
38.4Power33.3
2.27xG1.64
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