Gold Coast Unitedvs
Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 7/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Gold Coast United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.4% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
80.4%
Model confidence
80.4%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00