GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 8/14/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eastern Suburbs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Gold Coast United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Eastern Suburbs are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern Suburbs hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Eastern Suburbs holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eastern Suburbs

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

11.1%

Eastern Suburbs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast UnitedLWDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Eastern SuburbsDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gold Coast UnitedEastern Suburbs
38.1Attack54.0
38.1Defence47.6
27.0Form46.0
36.1Power49.5
1.26xG1.95
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