GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Gold Coast Knights are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Peninsula Power are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and peninsula Power hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Queensland NPL, favouring a draw with 8.7% confidence, a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

22.9%

Model confidence

8.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast KnightsLDLDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Peninsula PowerLDLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gold Coast KnightsPeninsula Power
69.8Attack74.6
50.8Defence60.3
55.6Form69.8
57.8Power68.5
1.77xG2.13
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