GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 7/4/2026, 6:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Gold Coast Knights are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.9 against 59.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast Knights

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast KnightsLWWWL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorWDWDL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gold Coast KnightsMoreton City Excelsior
69.7Attack77.3
51.5Defence47.0
57.6Form59.1
58.9Power59.9
2.42xG2.11
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