Gold Coast Knightsvs
Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 7/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Gold Coast Knights are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lions are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20