GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 7/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Gold Coast Knights are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lions are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

56.0%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast KnightsWLWWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LionsWWWWW

GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gold Coast KnightsLions
69.7Attack86.4
51.5Defence66.7
57.6Form80.3
58.9Power77.2
1.45xG2.48
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