GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 7/25/2026, 8:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Gold Coast Knights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gold Coast United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast Knights hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast Knights

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

71.6%

Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast KnightsLDWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gold Coast UnitedLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast United
69.7Attack39.4
51.5Defence40.9
57.6Form30.3
58.9Power38.4
2.88xG1.01
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