GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 7/12/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Gold Coast Knights are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Brisbane City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast Knights hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast Knights

Probability

60.8%

Model confidence

60.8%

Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gold Coast KnightsWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Brisbane CityDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gold Coast KnightsBrisbane City
69.7Attack71.2
51.5Defence27.3
57.6Form51.5
58.9Power51.1
3.40xG1.90
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