Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Goiânia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Goiânia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Trindade are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Goiânia hold a 41.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Goiano - 2, while Goiânia holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Goiânia
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
17.3%
Goiânia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00