Goiatuba ECvs
Ferroviario
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 7/18/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Goiatuba EC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ferroviario are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Goiatuba EC hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40