Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gobelins · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Gobelins are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Quevilly are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gobelins hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Ligue 3, while Gobelins holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gobelins
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Gobelins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80