IF Gnistanvs
KuPS
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
IF Gnistan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KuPS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40